Will This Happen?

Not a chance ⛔️

After analysing trends on the likelihood of Brexit, it is looking unlikely that Britain will leave the EU before 2022 will happen.

Recent Movement


Rising Probability

Within recent days it has become increasingly likely that this will happen.

Current Likelihood

There is currently a 0% chance that Britain will leave the EU before 2022.


Low Interest

This topic is receiving less interest than normal at the moment.

Likelihood History

About Brexit

Brexit is a word that is used as a shorthand way of saying the UK leaving the EU - merging the words Britain and exit to get Brexit. A referendum was held on Thursday 23 June, 2016, to decide whether the UK should leave or remain in the European Union. Leave won by 51.9% to 48.1%.
The referendum turnout was 71.8%, with more than 30 million people voting. Why might Brexit not actually happen? Whilst it is currently the law that Britain will leave the EU, a growing number of MPs want the people to decide if they do still want it to happen.