NI Independence

Will This Happen?

Not a chance ⛔️

After analysing trends on the likelihood of NI Independence, it is looking unlikely that Northern Ireland will vote to leave the UK in an independence referendum will happen.

Recent Movement

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Rising Probability

Within recent days it has become increasingly likely that this will happen.

Current Likelihood

There is currently a 0.9% chance that Northern Ireland will vote to leave the UK in an independence referendum.

Popularity

Typical Interest

This topic is receiving a typical amount of interest at the moment.

Likelihood History

About NI Independence

Northern Ireland is a part of the United Kingdom in the north-east of the island of Ireland. Northern Ireland was created in 1921, when Ireland was partitioned between Northern Ireland and Southern Ireland by the Government of Ireland Act 1920. Unlike Southern Ireland, which would become the Irish Free State in 1922, the majority of Northern Ireland's population were unionists, who wanted to remain within the United Kingdom.