Welsh Independence

Will This Happen?

Not a chance ⛔️

After analysing trends on the likelihood of Welsh Independence, it is looking unlikely that Wales will vote to leave the UK in an independence referendum will happen.

Recent Movement

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Stable Probability

Within recent days the likelihood of this has remained relatively stable.

Current Likelihood

There is currently a 0.2% chance that Wales will vote to leave the UK in an independence referendum.

Popularity

Typical Interest

This topic is receiving a typical amount of interest at the moment.

Likelihood History

About Welsh Independence

Wales is a country that is part of the United Kingdom and the island of Great Britain. It is bordered by England to the east, the Irish Sea to the north and west, and the Bristol Channel to the south. Welsh national identity emerged among the Britons after the Roman withdrawal from Britain in the 5th century, and Wales is regarded as one of the modern Celtic nations.