Popular Vote Winner

The winner of the 2024 election's popular vote

Democratic Party is looking the most likely 👀

After analysing trends on the combined likelihoods of a variety of alternative outcomes, Democratic Party is the most likely outcome to The winner of the 2024 election's popular vote.

Top Mover


Democratic Party

Democratic Party, on 75.8%, has seen their probability increase the most over the past day.

Highest Likelihood

Currently on 75.8%, Democratic Party is the looking the most likely.


Low Interest

This topic is receiving less interest than normal at the moment.

Likelihood History

About Popular Vote Winner

In a United States presidential election, the popular vote is the total number or percentage of votes cast for a candidate by voters in the 50 states and Washington, D.C.; the candidate who gets the most votes nationwide is said to have won the popular vote.